Offchain: Ready and Stable

Offchain: Ready and Stable

As the US dollar pulverises the world’s fiat currencies, could stablecoins give crypto the utility it’s been seeking?

It’s been a hell of a week for the world’s forex traders. Liz Truss, newly appointed UK Prime Minister, announced that her first priority in government would be to dish out massive and unfunded tax cuts to the country’s wealthiest citizens.

The market, which, along with the rest of us, assumed Reagan-style trickle down economics had fallen out of favour together with pedal pushers and drinking while pregnant, lost its absolute mind and began pummelling the UK’s finances as if they belonged to one of the world’s less fashionable kleptocracies.

Next thing you know the pound has made an all-time low against the US dollar, joining the euro, yuan, yen, rupee and many more in what the cryptoverse might describe as “goblin town”. (The Australian dollar is still 30-odd per cent above its 2001 USD all-time low, so holding up quite well considering).

With inflation rampant and the global economy going down the drain, everyone wants a stack of Uncle Sam’s ol’ timey greenbacks. But traditional currency markets are fractured, inaccessible and slow. Could stablecoins be the answer?

Gimme that green

Unlike many conversations around cryptocurrency, this one isn’t taking place in the realm of the hypothetical.

Latin America is experiencing a profound cryptocurrency boom; according to Mastercard 51% of the population have already used crypto to make a purchase, with two-thirds of that being through stablecoins. It’s thought that more than 40% of Brazilian adults hold crypto. These are places that know how volatile a fiat currency can be.

Meanwhile, the countries with the highest traffic to peer-to-peer crypto exchanges are Kenya, Nigeria, Venezuela and Vietnam AKA places with poor banking infrastructure and robust USD black markets. In Lebanon and Argentina, where inflation is running close to 100%, people turn to in-person crypto brokers to try and rescue assets from a collapsing economy.

For most developed nations, wholesale inflation and currency devaluation are phenomena last seen more than a generation ago. As a result, the buzz around stablecoins has always felt abstract: why keep your money in stables for a 2% yield when you could be trading shitcoins and going 10x? But if your currency is losing half its value in the interim, the prospect of the US dollar becomes a lot more enticing.

We know that in times of trouble cash is king. Thanks to crypto we can choose which cash that’s going to be.

Oh the irony

In crypto mythology, the US dollar has always been the ultimate symbol of fiat currency’s inherent injustices. Yet the rise of the stablecoin is predicated almost entirely on the continued supremacy of the greenback.

In truth, nothing has come close to challenging USD hegemony. In plenty of places if you can get US dollars, you generally do. Hell, one of the primary things keeping a lot of weaker currencies afloat is the fact that historically it’s been quite difficult for people in nations with poor financial infrastructure to cash out to USD – and quite risky to hold large bricks of currency under the mattress at home.

So what happens when the friction involved in that transaction vanishes? When the extortionate money-changing fees disappear? When government-mandated capital controls stop working? When you can easily use the money through the smartphone in your hand? Will we witness the bank run to end all bank runs?

Showing their stripes

This week global payments provider Stripe announced that it was introducing the ability for freelancers, creators, merchants and contractors to claim instant payouts through the platform in USDC – instead of their own currency (which could take days or weeks to receive depending on the local banking system).

Obviously we shouldn’t get ahead of ourselves here. Stripe isn’t about to single-handedly upend the global payments system any time soon. But I saw that and I felt the vertiginous sense of unfolding possibility that crypto hits you with every now and again. Instant and secure transactions in a safe haven currency; if you lived in Argentina, why wouldn’t you?

Crypto has always talked about banking the unbanked. We may be starting to get a sense of what that actually looks like. And with the US dollar showing no signs it’s about to leave the rest of the world’s currencies alone, the age of the stablecoins could be at hand.

Luke from CoinJar

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